Three rounds behind us, another three rounds in the group stage to go. Regarding the fixtures, the following three rounds of UEFA Fantasy Champions League will be mirroring the previous three.
Does this mean that we can expect the same outputs in MD4-MD6 as we saw in MD1-MD3? It could happen…
Let’s jump to our UCL Fantasy tips for Matchday 4.
Hopefully, our tips will help you to make a good decision about your fantasy team before the first kick-off of the MD4 of Champions League.
Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.
Let’s look at who do we consider to be the best captain for UCL Fantasy Matchday 4.
Tuesday captain pick: Haaland (CPH (A))
For Tuesday, the most appealing fixtures for captaincy are Copenhagen vs City, PSG vs Benfica and Sachtar Doneck vs Real Madrid.
There is no need to overcomplicate and overthink this decision.
Only Napoli scored more goals in this Champions League campaign than Manchester City. Citizen’s firepower is undeniable, bookies really favor them to do well, and if the trend continues we will see a lot of goals from them in this one too.
With 5 goals, Haaland is the top goalscorer of this campaign and it is time for him to shine again. And we will know whether he starts before the deadline. Perfect.
Haaland is the best captain for UCL Fantasy MD4.
Other captain picks for Tuesday: De Bruyne, Benzema, Mbappe
Wednesday captain pick: Sané (PLZ (A))
The standout fixtures for the captaincy on Wednesday are Plzeń vs Bayern Munich and Rangers vs. Liverpool.
Choosing our backup captain is more complicated, as there are plenty of options for captaincy on Wednesday.
However, we use the same strategy as in Matchday 3.
So, Sané is our backup captain pick for Wednesday, if Halaand fails to deliver (score 9+ points).
You can read more about when you should change your captain and about rules we use for changing the captaincy in our article: When you should change your UCL Fantasy captain?
Other captain picks for Wednesday: Mané, Gnabry, Salah, Kane
2. Strategy and tips for Matchday 4 and onwards
In Matchdays 4, 5, and 6 we will see reverse fixtures for MD1, MD2, and MD3.
Basically, we have already seen these fixtures but in reverse. So, try to exploit all the information you can get from the dataset you have about MD1, MD2, and MD3 to fully prepare your UCL Fantasy team for the same set of fixtures.
Also, if you already used all your chips, try to save one transfer this round, so you will have 3 transfers available for Matchday 5 to change your UCL Fantasy team based on the fixtures.
Fixtures to target in MD4
Which fixtures you should target? We always use bookies odds to help us determine that. Let’s look at which teams have the highest chance of winning their match in Matchday 4 and to score a lot of goals in that game:
- Manchester City – 86 % to win, 60 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- Bayern Munich – 85 % to win, 60 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- Liverpool – 71 % to win, 44 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- PSG – 70 % to win, 44 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid – 69 % to win, 43 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- Barcelona – 67 % to win, 37 % to score more than 2.5 goals
3. Players great at recovering balls
After three matchdays we have a better picture about players that are good at balls recovered. Players who can consistently do the job and score extra 2-3 points for you matchday after matchday.
If you are interested to know, which players did well in balls recovered during the last two seasons, check our article about Balls Recovering Heroes.
These players have the most balls recovered this season after three matchdays:
- Otameni – 28
- Di Lorenzo – 27
- Tuta – 26
- Tomori, Hasebe – 25
4. Key players to pick in Matchday 4
We look at key players to pick in UCL Fantasy for MD3. We examine each position and each price bracket. You can check our separate articles here:
5. Bookies odds
As usual, we looked at what bookies think about the Matchday 4 of UCL Fantasy.
We checked the clean sheet odds to determine which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the MD4 and goalscoring odds to determine which players are most likely to score a goal in MD4.
It can be very helpful when selecting the defense of your UCL Fantasy team or choosing your captain.
We used our Odds to probability calculator for converting bookies’ odds into probabilities.
Clean sheet odds for MD4
Bookies favor Manchester City to keep a clean sheet with 55 % probability. Bayern Munich (52 %) and Atletico (45 %) follow. Bookies expect 7.84 clean sheets in Matchday 4.
You can find the full Champions League clean sheet odds table here.
Goalscoring odds for MD4
You can find goalscoring odds for MD4 here.
6. UCL Fantasy Team Selection for Matchday 4
Let’s finish our preview for the Matchday 4 of UCL Fantasy with our scout picks and team selection. This is a good inspiration for managers on their wildcard (regular one). If you plan to use your limitless wildcard in MD4, check our limitless squad here.
We will likely make 1 or 2 changes to our team before the deadline. We will post our final team on our Twitter @FplReports one hour before the first kickoff.
The fourth Matchday of the Fantasy Champions League campaign starts in just a few days. Make an informed decision about your UCL Fantasy team and prepare it for success.