3 Best Captain Picks for FPL GW7 [Captaincy Index]

fpl captain picks

In this article, we will look at the best captain picks for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 7 of the 2023/24 season.

If you are familiar with our captaincy decision-making process, we always pick a reliable player as our captain that has an easy fixture. We developed our captaincy index – a score that helps us to find the best captain picks for any gameweek.

Read more: 4 Books that will help you improve your FPL skills

So, if you are not sure who to captain in Gameweek 7, check our calculations for inspiration.

BTW, follow us on Twitter (@FplReports), so you do not miss out on any of our new articles and news. We are also retweeting team news and other interesting stuff that might be useful for your FPL team.

FPL Captain picks for Gameweek 7

We picked a range of players and calculated the captaincy index for them. You can check it in the table below. Players are sorted by the highest score in the captaincy index. The best captaincy picks in GW7 are at the top.

NameCaptaincy IndexReliability IndexGoalscorer OddsForm/251/oposition FDRIs MID/10Home/10
Haaland2.040.560.550.430.500
Son1.650.390.330.480.250.10.1
Salah1.610.480.330.370.330.10
Fernandes1.460.330.260.170.50.10.1
Saka1.450.250.290.310.50.10
Bowen1.420.250.260.210.50.10.1
Rashford1.410.20.350.160.50.10.1
Wilson1.390.130.430.230.500.1
Foden1.270.180.250.240.50.10
Morris1.2600.450.210.500.1
Alvarez1.230.080.330.320.500
Watkins1.20.230.330.210.3300.1
Mbeumo1.190.170.270.150.50.10
Odegaard1.170.150.270.150.50.10
Almiron1.170.080.260.130.50.10.1
Isak1.170.070.410.090.500.1
Sterling1.140.180.280.080.50.10
Maddison1.130.210.240.230.250.10.1
Mitoma1.130.180.240.280.330.10
Martinelli1.070.110.280.080.50.10
Jesus1.060.130.310.120.500
Jota0.950.110.30.110.330.10
Havertz0.940.070.230.040.50.10
Ferguson0.8800.30.250.3300
Wissa0.870.070.230.070.500
Eze0.760.080.170.160.250.10
Joao Pedro0.7100.250.130.3300

If you are more into the manual process of picking the best captain in FPL, check our article: How to pick a captain in FPL?

Best Gameweek 7 Captain

According to our captaincy index, Haaland is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 7.

Son is the number 2 captaincy pick and Salah is number 3.

History of our captaincy picks

GameweekN1 CaptainPointsN2 CaptainPointsN3 CaptainPoints
GW1Haaland13Fernandes3Rashford3
GW2Haaland2Salah5Saka3
GW3Haaland4Mbeumo2Mitoma1
GW4Haaland20Salah8Mbeumo8
GW5Haaland 6Salah10Son2
GW6Haaland6Salah10Fernandes10
GW7Haaland?

Captaincy index explained

Fantasy Football Report’s Captaincy Index is a sum of six numbers. When looking at each individually, they cannot give us the full picture of whether a player is a good captaincy option or not. But when we combine them, we will get a better picture of the player’s captaincy potential.

Variables in Captaincy Index

  • Goalscorer Odds – the probability that a player will score a goal according to a bookies odds. It is a different number for each match. We convert bookies odds into probabilities using our own Odds to Probability Calculator. (*if double gameweek, the sum of goalscoring odds for both matches)
  • Reliability Index – this is a number that measures how reliable a player was in delivering stable output in his 3 previous Premier League seasons. It is calculated as (Average Amount of Total Points over the last three seasons – 76)/350
  • Form – this is the form number from Official FPL stats
  • Opposition FDR Fixture Difficulty Ranking of opposition in current gameweek. (*if double gameweek, the average FDR for both matches)
  • Is Midfielder – Boolean variable. If a player is midfielder, the number is 1. If not, it is 0. The idea behind this variable is that mids are usually scoring bigger hauls than forwards, as they earn more points for goals and clean sheets. We want our system to get a slight advantage to midfielders over forwards.
  • Is Home – Boolean variable. If a player plays at home in the current gameweek, the number is 1. If not, it is 0. We want to our system to get slight advatage to players playing at home. (*if double gameweek, the sum for both matches)

Weights of variables

Each variable has its own weight according to its importance in our overall metric. Those weights are:

  • Weight of Goalscorer Odds = 1
  • Weight of Reliability = 1
  • Weight of Form = 1/25
  • Weight of opposition FDR = 1/(FDR*FDR) (*if double gameweek FDR = 2/(FDR*FDR))
  • Weight of Is Midfielder = 1/10
  • Weight of Is Home = 1/10

The formula for captaincy index calculation

Then, the captaincy index is calculated as sum of variables multiplied by their weights:

Captaincy Index = Goalscored Odss + Reliability Index + 1/25 * Form + 1/FDR + 1/10 * Is Midfielder + 1/10 * Is Home

 

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

Players:Haaland, Salah, Son

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