UCL Fantasy Matchday 12: Tips, Captain & Team for Semifinals 2nd Leg

Matchday 12 – the second leg of the Semifinals is here, and there are just two matchdays left in the current Fantasy Champions League campaign. There is not much room to make a big difference in the overall ranking or in the mini-leagues, as teams of majority of UCL Fantasy managers are looking very similar.

But still, we will do our best to help you with our UCL Fantasy Matchday 12 Tips for Semifinals 2nd leg, where we discuss strategy, best picks, captain, odds, team selection and more.

So, let’s prepare our squads for the replays of the Champions League Semifinals.

1. UCL Fantasy Matchday 12 Tips & Strategy

Note.: Courtois is back from injury, but Carlo Ancelotti said that Lunin would retain his place in goal against Bayern in the semifinal second leg: “The final we have in our minds is Wednesday’s against Bayern, where Lunin will play. After that, we’ll see.”

a) Rebalance your squad and make sure you will have 11 starters in the finals

We will keep our tips short.

The most important thing before the final is: you have to make sure that no matter which teams will advance to the final, you still have 11 starters to field in the final.

Once the second leg of the semifinals is over, you will get 5 free transfers again. So make sure, that no matter which teams will progress, you will have at least 6 players that will have advanced to the final (you will get another 5 players with your 5 free transfers).

It means that sum of players in your team from all possible final combinations is greater or equal to six.

So, use your three free transfers wisely now and think about your tactic.

And before the start of the Matchday 12 make sure you have:

• At least 6 players from Real Madrid and PSG in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Real Madrid and Dortmund in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Bayern and PSG in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Bayern and Dortmund in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)

Note: For example you could have 3 x Dortmund, 4 x Bayern, 4 x Real Madrid and 4 x PSG, with Lunin and Donnaruma goalkeepers

That way you will be protected no matter which teams will advance to the final and you will have 11 players (6 from your current team + 5 transfers).

And way you will not have to take unnecessary hits to field 11 starters in the final.

You can also use our probabilities of progressing to the final to assess which teams will likely advance to the final.

b) Key notes for semi-finals 2nd leg

• Pick goalkeepers from both days (ideally Donnaruma and Lunin – however, Lunin could be doubt in final as Courtois is fit)
• 5 points is our captaincy threshold (if our captain score 5 or more points we will not change our captaincy)
• 4 points is our substitution threshold (if a player score 4 or more points we will not sub him off)
• Prioritize transferring out the most expensive eliminated players in your fantasy team – that way you can maximize the budget with the starting players
• Bring in players who are good at balls recovered (Schlotterback, Vitinha…)
• If possible, try to have more (8) players who play on Tuesday, so you do not have a substitution headache on Wednesday

Read more about our captaincy thresholds: UCL Fantasy Captaincy Thresholds: When to change captain?

2. Fixtures to target in UCL Fantasy Matchday 12

Which fixtures you should target? We always use bookies’ odds to help us determine that. Let’s look at which teams have the highest chance of winning their match in the Matchday 12 and scoring a lot of goals in that game:

• PSG – 64 % to win, 38 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Real Madrid – 50 % to win, 27 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Bayern– 24 % to win, 12 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Dortmund – 16 % to win the match, 7 % to score more than 2.5 goals

Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Champions League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.

4. What bookies says about MD12

What bookies say about Champions League semi finals 2nd leg? We have already show you probabilities of progressing to the final. Now let’s check clean sheet odds and goalscoring odds.

Our probabilities are calculated from bookies odds using our Odds to probability calculator.

Clean sheet odds

PSG (35 %) and Real Madrid (27 %) are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the 2nd leg of semifinals.

We will see approximately just 0.85 clean sheets in the following round, so diversify the defense of your squad to catch that one potential clean sheet. However, we have seen just 2 clean sheets in the last 3 matchdays combined.

You can check all MD12 clean sheet odds here: Champions League Clean Sheet Odds.

Goalscoring odds

You can check all MD12 goalscoring odds here: Champions League Goalscoring Odds.

5. Best captains for UCL Fantasy Semifinals

Mbappe, who is in great form and top for goalscorer odds, is our captaincy option for Tuesday. If you do not trust him to do well, you could go for Hummels as your captain and rely on his stable points output in balls recovered.

Our backup captain for Wednesday is Kane.

He is in solid form, he is the talisman of Bayern and can score in any game.

6. Scout picks: UCL Fantasy Team Selection for Semifinals 2nd Leg

Last tips for the Matchday 12.

Do not forget include players that are great in balls recovered to your team.

With just 2 games, there will not be a lot of UCL Fantasy points distributed among the players. But players recovering balls are offering safe and secure root to points, as they do not have to score goal or keep a clean sheet.

Here is our scout squad, team selection for the UCL Fantasy semifinals 2^nd leg.

7.Fantasy Champions League Tips

Find more tips, strategies, and picks for UCL Fantasy in these articles:

• Beginner? Read our guide: How to play UCL Fantasy?
• Confused about the rules? Read the Official guidelines of the game
• Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.

Feel free to JOIN our UCL fantasy mini-league for the 2023/24 season using our league code 50U1FM5M03.

Good luck in UCL Fantasy Matchday 12 – Semifinals 2nd Leg.