UCL Fantasy Matchday 16: Tips, Captain & Team for Semifinals 2nd Leg

Matchday 16 – the second leg of the Semifinals is here, and there are just two matchdays left in the current Fantasy Champions League campaign. There is not much room to make a big difference in the overall ranking or in the mini-leagues, as teams of majority of UCL Fantasy managers are looking very similar.

But still, we will do our best to help you with our UCL Fantasy Matchday 16 Tips for Semifinals 2nd leg, where we discuss strategy, best picks, captain, odds, team selection and more.

So, let’s prepare our squads for the replays of the Champions League Semifinals.

1. UCL Fantasy Semifinals 2nd Leg Tips & Strategy

Note.: Dembele (likely fit), Kounde (out), and Lautaro Martinez (doubtful) are all doubts for MD16 – but wait for injury news before making transfers.

a) Rebalance your squad and make sure you will have 11 starters in the finals

We will keep our tips short.

The most important thing before the final is: you have to make sure that no matter which teams will advance to the final, you still have 11 starters to field in the final.

Once the second leg of the semifinals is over, you will get 5 free transfers again. So make sure, that no matter which teams will progress, you will have at least 6 players that will have advanced to the final (you will get another 5 players with your 5 free transfers).

It means that sum of players in your team from all possible final combinations is greater or equal to six.

So, use your three free transfers wisely now and think about your tactic.

And before the start of the Matchday 16 make sure you have:

• At least 6 players from Barcelona and PSG in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Barcelona and Arsenal in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Inter and PSG in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)
• At least 6 players from Inter and Arsenal in total (if two of them are goalkeepers, then 7)

Note: For example you could have 3 x Arsenal, 4 x Inter, 4 x Barcelona and 4 x PSG

That way you will be protected no matter which teams will advance to the final and you will have 11 players (6 from your current team + 5 transfers).

And way you will not have to take unnecessary hits to field 11 starters in the final.

You can also use our probabilities of progressing to the final to assess which teams will likely advance to the final.

b) Key notes for semi-finals 2nd leg

• Pick goalkeepers from both days (based on bookies odds Donnaruma + Szczseny could be good combo)
• 5 points is our captaincy threshold (if our captain score 5 or more points we will not change our captaincy)
• 4 points is our substitution threshold (if a player score 4 or more points we will not sub him off)
• Prioritize transferring out the most expensive eliminated players in your fantasy team – that way you can maximize the budget with the starting players
• Bring in players who are good at balls recovered
• If possible, try to have 7 or 8 players who play on Tuesday, so you do not have a substitution headache on Wednesday

Read more about our captaincy thresholds: UCL Fantasy Captaincy Thresholds: When to change captain?

2. Fixtures to target in UCL Fantasy Matchday 16

Which fixtures you should target? We always use bookies’ odds to help us determine that. Let’s look at which teams have the highest chance of winning their match in the Matchday 16 and scoring a lot of goals in that game:

• PSG – 46 % to win, 22 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Barcelona – 44 % to win, 28 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Inter – 32 % to win, 20 % to score more than 2.5 goals
• Arsenal – 28 % to win the match, 13 % to score more than 2.5 goals

Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Champions League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.

4. What bookies says about MD16

What bookies say about Champions League semi finals 2nd leg? We have already show you probabilities of progressing to the final. Now let’s check clean sheet odds and goalscoring odds.

Our probabilities are calculated from bookies odds using our Odds to probability calculator.

Clean sheet odds

PSG (27 %) and Barcelona (19 %) are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the 2nd leg of semifinals.

We will see approximately just 0.77 clean sheets in the following round, so diversify the defense of your squad to catch that one potential clean sheet. However, we have seen just 3 clean sheets in the last 3 matchdays combined.

You can check all MD16 clean sheet odds here: Champions League Clean Sheet Odds.

Goalscoring odds

Coming soon…

You can check all MD16 goalscoring odds here: Champions League Goalscoring Odds.

5. Best captains for UCL Fantasy Semifinals

Raphinha, who is just unstoppable in UCL this season, is our captaincy option for Tuesday.

Our backup captain for Wednesday is Hakimi, if Dembele is not fit. If you do not trust him with the armband, you could choose Pacho who is best for balls recovered this season. Or Ramos/Doue if you are chasing and looking for a differential captain.

6. Scout picks: UCL Fantasy Team Selection for Semifinals 2nd Leg

Last tips for the Matchday 16.

Do not forget include players that are great in balls recovered to your team.

With just 2 games, there will not be a lot of UCL Fantasy points distributed among the players. But players recovering balls are offering safe and secure root to points, as they do not have to score goal or keep a clean sheet.

Here is our scout squad, team selection for the UCL Fantasy semifinals 2^nd leg.

Update: With Dembele likely available, it’s Dembele instead of Kvaratshkheila. And if Lautaro Martinez is fit, it’s him over Taremi – wait for lineups.

7.Fantasy Champions League Tips

Find more tips, strategies, and picks for UCL Fantasy in these articles:

• Beginner? Read our guide: How to play UCL Fantasy?
• Confused about the rules? Read the Official guidelines of the game
• Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.

Feel free to JOIN our UCL fantasy mini-league for the 2024/25 season using our league code 50U1FM5M03.

Good luck in UCL Fantasy Matchday 16 – Semifinals 2nd Leg.