In this article, we will look at the potential differential picks for your Fantasy Premier League team for Gameweek 26 in the 2023/24 season.
Read more about GW26 in our guide: FPL Gameweek 26: Tips, Captain, Transfer Targets & Team Selection
Best differentials for FPL 2023/24 Gameweek 26 and beyond: Our Watchlist
Neto (4.6m, Bournemouth)
- Owned by 3.3 %
- Bournemouth has a very nice run of fixtures from GW27 onwards and a double gameweek in GW28
- But they will have likely blank in GW29, that’s why you need to pair him up with some goalkeeper that has a fixture in GW29, such as Areola
- However, you cannot have unrealistic expectations about clean sheets – it is Bournemouth, they have just 5 clean sheets this season – so you can expect a clean sheet in 1 in 5 games.
- But, when they do keep a clean sheet, he is likely to get some extra points for saves and bonuses – this is when you get his points – so you have to be patient
- He returned 10, 9, 8, 7, 9 points when Bournemouth kept clean sheet this season
Our rating: 5.5/10
Read more: Best FPL Goalkeepers to Pick
Dawson (4.5m, Wolves)
- Wolves top for clean sheet odds in GW26
- differential owned by only 0.9% of manager
- Wolves with great upcoming fixtures, but then likely blank in GW29
- consistent goal threat,
- he is averaging 3 attacking returns per season in the last 9 Premier League campaigns
Our rating: 2.5/10
Read more: Best FPL Defenders to Pick
Pedro Neto (5.7m, Wolves) – 6.5/10
- Great fixtures (starting with poor Sheffield) for Wolves, but likely blank in GW29 (but not confirmed yet – depends on FA Cup game results)
- After he returned from injury, Pedro Neto delivered 1G + 3A in 6 games
- 13 attacking returns from 6.5 xGI this season – Pedro Neto is in good form but is overperforming his underlying numbers
- Key midfielder for Wolves
- Owned by just 4.6%
Our rating: 6.5/10
Hwang Hee Chan (5.5m, Wolves) – 7/10
- 13 attacking returns from 8.6 xGI this season – has higher xGI than Neto
- Can be a very explosive FPL asset
- Owned by just 4.5%
- Wolves players could do very in GW26 against poor Sheffield defence
Read more: Best FPL Midfielders to Pick
Welbeck (5.7m, Brighton)
- could be an option while Joao Pedro is injured, as he should get more game time
- 3 attacking returns in last 3 games
- overlooked as he is only in 0.9% of teams
- but has likely blank in GW29
Our rating: 1.5/10
Read more: Best FPL Forwards to Pick
Who is a differential in Fantasy Premier League?
In the context of the FPL, a “differential” refers to a player who is not widely selected by other managers but has the potential to perform exceptionally well, thereby providing an edge over opponents. For example in this article, we considered as differentials only players who are selected by less than 5% of FPL managers.
The impact of differentials on your FPL score
The impact of differential players can be profound. For instance, if a differential player scores a goal, only a small number of managers will benefit from the points awarded for that goal. This means that those managers will move ahead of their rank competitors who did not have that player.
Read more: What is Effective Ownership in FPL?
On the other hand, if a widely owned player, such as Haaland, scores, almost everyone will benefit from his goal, which means, almost no one can move in the ranking,
Strategies to identify differentials
- Understanding player performance statistics can provide insights into potential differentials. This includes not only goals and assists but also underlying stats, such as shots on target, key passes, crosses, and other metrics that might indicate a player is in good form.
- A player’s Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) can be a useful tool for identifying potential differentials. The FDR rates upcoming matches based on their perceived difficulty, which can influence the likelihood of a player performing well.
- If a regular starter is injured or suspended, a less popular player may get the chance to play and could become a valuable differential.
Common pitfalls when picking differentials
One of the common mistakes in identifying and selecting differentials is chasing last week’s points. Managers often pick players who performed well in the last game week without considering their overall performance and upcoming fixtures.
Over-reliance on differentials is another pitfall. A balanced team with a mix of popular and differential players could work better than a team full of differential. To avoid these mistakes, it’s important to carry out thorough research, take calculated risks, and maintain a balanced team.