Best FPL Goalkeepers to pick in Gameweek 27

best fpl goalkeepers

In this article, we will look at the best goalkeepers to pick for your Fantasy Premier League team in the Gameweek 27 of the 2023/24 season.

Let’s dive in and look at our watchlist. If you are aiming to use a wildcard in GW27, here are the goalkeepers to pick from, with our comments and ratings of each.

Read more about GW27 in our guide: FPL Gameweek 27: Tips, Captain, Transfer Targets & Team Selection

Best goalkeepers for FPL 2023/24 Gameweek 27: Our watchlist

We will look at goalkeepers from every price point: budget enablersmidpriced picks, and premium options.

Budget enablers for Gameweek 27 (4m – 4.5m price range)

Notes: 

  • Brighton goalkeepers will be rotated, so do not buy either Steele or Verbruggen

 

Dubravka (4.2m, Newcastle) – 2/10

Verdict: Sell (or bench and wait until the wildcard – Dubravka missed GW26 due to illness so should be back soon. Newcastle conceded the highest xG of all teams (18.99 xGC) since the start of 2024

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 29%

  • Nick Pope should be back in late March, so you will likely hold Dubravka until your wildcard and then replace him
  • Dubravka then should be his replacement in Newcastle’s goal
  • He has been historically a very good FPL asset, good at saves (3.14 saves per match in the last 3 seasons) and solid at bonus points
  • Dubravka was a key man for Slovakia in their EURO 2024 qualifiers

 

Areola (4.2m, West Ham) – 4/10

Verdict: Hold

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 17 %

  • West Ham is third worst in xG conceded since the start of 2024 after Newcastle and Luton (13.54 xG conceded)
  • West Ham is very unpredictable in keeping clean sheets
  • you must be patient with him to catch his occasional points

 

Henderson (4.4m, Crystal Palace) – 1/10

Verdict: Sell, Johnstone is back in goal

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 9 %

  • Expected points output over 38 games: 152 points (source) – but calculated only from 2 seasons of data
  • Crystal Palace’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 10.2 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 2 seasons: 3.08 (source)
  • Very good fixtures for Palace up to GW31
  • Could be your goalkeeper if you are on a wildcard
  • Remains to be seen whether he will keep his spot once Johnstone is back from injury

 

Pickford (4.6m, Everton) – 6/10

Verdict: Hold. After his recent hauls, there might be regression to the mean, and a series of blanks could follow.

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 33 %

  • Expected points output over 38 games: 128 points (source)
  • Everton’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 10.4 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 3 seasons: 3.22 (source)
  • Budget enabler
  • Top scoring goalkeeper, good at bonus points
  • When Everton keep a clean sheet, he is likely to get extra bonus points
  • Everton has 4th lowest xG conceded this season so far

 

Flekken (4.5m, Brentford) – 4/10

Verdict: Hold.

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 15 %

  • Brentford has 5th lowest xG conceded this season of all teams
  • He is not able to replicate Raya’s performances from the previous season and currently, we do not see him being able to collect so many save points and bonus points as Raya did

 

Neto (4.6m, Bournemouth) – 5.5/10

Verdict: Buy as your second goalkeeper, transfer target for wildcarders

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 29 %

  • Bournemouth has a very nice run of fixtures from GW27 onwards and a double gameweek in GW28
  • But they will have likely blank in GW29, that’s why you need to pair him up with some goalkeeper that has a fixture in GW29, such as Areola
  • However, you cannot have unrealistic expectations about clean sheets – it is Bournemouth, they have just 5 clean sheets this season – so you can expect a clean sheet in 1 in 5 games.
  • But, when they do keep a clean sheet, he is likely to get some extra points for saves and bonuses – this is when you get his pointsso you have to be patient
  • He returned 10, 9, 8, 7, 9 points when Bournemouth kept clean sheet this season

 

Leno (4.8m, Fulham) – 6/10,

Verdict: Hold, he has a fixture in blank GW29. Fulham is very unpredictable in keeping clean sheets. You need to hold him for a longer period to catch his hauls.

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 20 %

  • Expected points output over 38 games: 128.06 points (source)
  • Fulham’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 7.67 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 3 seasons: 3.21 (source)
  • It’s his occasional double-digit hauls that make him a good goalkeeper pick in FPL. However, you can never predict when these double-digit hauls will come. So, you have to keep him for a longer period, endure a few blanks, and then enjoy rare hauls – which could help him become the top-scoring goalkeeper of the season.
  • 1st for bonus points among goalkeepers
  • It is Fulham, so do not have unrealistic expectations about clean sheets from them, their defense is very shaky
  • You must rely on points from saves mainly, and can he keep saving so many shots?
  • Surely, Leno will be getting save points, but with so low clean sheet potential, you are likely looking for 2-3 pointers per match and then rare double-digit hauls which make him a solid pick in FPL. But you have to have patience.

 

Mid-priced FPL goalkeepers for Gameweek 27 (5m price range)

Raya (5m, Arsenal) – 8/10

Verdict: Hold

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 51%

  • Arsenal has the lowest xG conceded this season
  • Very affordable goalkeeper playing for elite defense
  • Arsenal defense is very solid, so he do not have many opportunities to get points for saves
  • favorable fixtures on the horizon

 

Sa (5.0m, Wolves) – 2/10

Verdict: Hold

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 13 %

  • Differential goalkeeper, but Wolves are struggling for clean sheets this season
  • Expected points output over 38 games: 153 points (source)
  • Wolves average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 10.8 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 2 seasons: 3.16 (source)
  • He slowly racks up points with 2,3,4 pointers and occasional double digit hauls, so it is hard to predict his points
  • Can get you points for clean sheets, penalty saves, bonus points, occasional assists
  • second for bonus points and 3rd for saves in the previous season
  • Wolves were very reliable in keeping consistently around 11 clean sheets per season, but this season, they are just too shaky defensively
  • Wolves’ defense does not look as solid as we were used to

 

Onana (4.8m, Manchester United) – 5/10

Verdict: Hold

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 6 %

  • Manchester United’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 11.6 (source)
  • He had a bad start to the season, but now is collecting FPL points for saves and occasional clean sheets.
  • 5th for saves this season so far
  • Manchester United was top for clean sheets last season
  • Onana was top for saves in the Champions League last season
  • Not a proven FPL asset
  • Manchester United is very shaky at back this season so far
  • United are very unpredictable. But still they are able to keep clean sheets, but just you never know when clean sheets come.

Martinez (5.3m, Aston Villa) – 5/10

Verdict: Buy

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27: 27 %

  • Expected points output over 38 games: 155.8 points (source)
  • Aston Villa’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 11.25 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 2 seasons: 3.08 (source)
  • Great fixtures up to GW30
  • Could be a go-to goalkeeper for managers who do not aim to free hit in GW29
  • So, he is a good pick if you do not have chips left, or if you aim to play wildcard late in GW31/32
  • Many goalkeepers with similar points potential are priced by 0.5m lower

 

Premium FPL goalkeepers for Gameweek 27 (5.5m price bracket)

Ederson (5.5m, Manchester City) –  7/10

Verdict: Hold, have a plan for potential blank GW29

Clean Sheet Odds for GW26: 36 %

  • Expected points output over 38 games: 151 points (source)
  • Manchester City’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 18 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 3 seasons: 1.59 (source)
  • City bit shaky defensively so far this season, but has the second lowest xG conceded of all teams
  • Manchester City are usually great defensively, however, they did not keep as many clean sheets the previous season as we expected
  • Over the season, Ederson is likely the only nailed Man City defensive player, however, we saw he can be rotated as well
  • With Ederson, you are relying solely on points for Clean Sheets (and perhaps on a rare assist – Ederson has 2 assists in the last 5 seasons)
  • Manchester City are not allowing many shots against, so he can get many points for saves and bonuses – that’s why he is unlikely to end up as the top-scoring keeper even if Manchester City keeps the most clean sheets of all EPL teams

 

Alisson (5.7m, Liverpool) – 1/10

Clean Sheet Odds for GW27

Verdict: Monitor his injury situation, he is likely out until April

  • Great long-term premium pick – set and forget goalkeeper
  • Expected points output over 38 games: 168 points (source)
  • Liverpool’s average clean sheets over the last 5 seasons: 16.6 (source)
  • Average saves per match in the last 3 seasons: 2.51 (source)
  • Liverpool with 3rd lowest xG conceded this season of all teams
  • When Liverpool keeps a clean sheet, he usually gets 7-8 pointer; when they do not, Alisson rarely gets 0- or 1-pointers. Thanks to that, he can slowly rack up points even when Liverpool does not keep clean sheets regularly. Even with 10 clean sheets for Liverpool during the whole season, he still could become the top-scoring goalkeeper in the FPL at the end of the season
  • Set and forget goalkeeper for the whole season
  • The most versatile goalkeeper in the game
  • 5th for bonus points, 6th for saves in previous season
  • Can get you points for clean sheets, saves, penalty saves, bonus points, a rare goal or assist, his points floor is very high, he can slowly rack up points even without many clean sheets
  • 3 goal involvements in the last 3 seasons (most of all goalkeepers)
  • Best at xG prevented in the last season according to FBREF
  • Higher price tag
  • Liverpool not very convincing defensively so far

 

Our preferred goalkeeper for Gameweek 27 of 2023/24 season

Our advice:

  1. Currently, our preferred option in the higher price bracket is Martinez, who have great fixtures up to GW30 and also a fixture in blank gameweek 29
  2. In the lower price bracket, we opt for Raya as he could be a gold for FPL managers with his 5m price tag (but likely blank in GW29)
  3. If you are looking for a cheaper goalkeeper than Raya, go for Neto, who has good fixtures and a double gameweek in GW28 – but likely blank in GW29, that’s why he is only good pick if you have a backup for him (such as Areola) for GW29
  4. Areola is a good option in the lowest price bracket again, but you need to be patient with him to catch his occasional points (has a fixture in GW29)

Tips for picking the best goalkeepers for your FPL team

  • With goalkeepers, you always want a keeper that has a very high chance of a clean sheet. You can use our Premier League Clean Sheets Odds to find goalkeepers, who are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the next gameweek of FPL.
  • Also, when considering a goalkeeper for your fantasy team, you always have to take a look at fixtures and asses whether a certain goalkeeper has the potential for a clean sheet. Does he have a tough or easy fixture? And as we mentioned, our clean sheet odds will help you with that.
  • Check FDR to find goalkeepers with a great fixture run that could be good for clean sheets
  • Also, asses the save potential of a goalkeeper you would like to pick. Make sure you check which goalkeepers have the most saves and bonus points.
  • Goalkeepers that are bonus points magnets can get double-digit haul when they keep a clean sheet. So when they keep a clean sheet in every 5th or 6th match, it is ok, as they deliver a big amount of points on those occasions.
  • Do not forget to pick a playing goalkeeper to your bench, in case your first-choice GK gets injured. But your bench goalkeeper does not have to be an expensive one, as you will likely not need him many times. Choose a goalkeeper from the 4-4.5m price bracket as your backup

Strategies for picking a goalkeeper in FPL

King and the heir

You pick starting 4.5 million goalkeeper and 4.0 million backup goalkeeper from the same team. So, when the 4.5m number one gets injured, you will automatically have his replacement on your bench.

That way you will have coverage for 38 gameweeks for just 8.5 million in total. The disadvantage is, that 4.5m goalkeepers might not deliver so many points as you would need.

  • Total costs = 4.5 + 4 = 8.5m
  • Expected points output during the season = 120 – 130 points

Rotating goalkeepers

In this strategy, you pick two 4.5m, or 5.0m goalkeepers that rotates very well. So, when the first one has a home fixture, the other one has an away fixture. And the other way around.

Or when the first one has an easy fixture, the other one has a tough fixture. The idea is, that you will exploit this rotation (of H/A, or fixtures), to maximize the point output from your goalkeepers, as you will always play the one with the better fixture.

This strategy looks great on paper. But when put in practice, you will leave many points on the bench too many times. It is hard to predict where the points come from – sometimes, you bench goalkeepers with a tough fixture, but that could be the fixture with a surprising clean sheet, 6 saves and 3 bonus points.

The expected output of this strategy varies. You could score even 180+ points through the season with this strategy if your goalkeepers score points in fixtures when you want them to score. But if not, you might be actually losing points, as you might bench the big hauls.

  • Total costs = 4.5 + 4.5 = 9m
  • Expected points output during the season = 100 – 190 points

Premium set and forget

You pick one premium goalkeeper (like Ederson or Alisson) and do not worry about them the whole season. Premium goalkeepers have high clean sheet potential, although they rarely collect points for save points.

You would pick a 4.0 million goalkeeper to the bench – either a starting goalkeeper or a non-starting.

  • Total costs = 4.0 + 5.5 = 9.5m
  • Expected points output during the season = 135 – 160 points

Switching goalkeepers based on fixtures

The most common strategy in FPL. You pick one goalkeeper with a very good fixture run and when his fixtures turn red, you transfer him out for another goalkeeper whose fixtures improve.

  • Total costs = 4.0 + 4.5/5.5m = 9.5m – 10.5m + transfers made
  • Expected points output during the season = 110 – 190 points

FPL Goalkeepers with stable points output in the previous 4 seasons

best goalkeepers fpl 2023 24
Best goalkeepers for FPL 2023/24

How many points should you expect from your goalkeeper in Fantasy Premier League?

Do not have unrealistic expectations from your FPL goalkeepers.

  • At best, the top teams can keep around 14-20 clean sheets per season. So, when you select a premium goalkeeper, expect he gets a clean sheet in every second match at the best.
  • Mid-table teams tend to keep around 8-13 clean sheets per season. So, with mid-priced goalkeepers, expect a clean sheet in every fourth match
  • Bottom table teams usually keep around 0-7 clean sheets per season. So when picking budget enablers from bottom-table teams, do not really expect more than a clean sheet in every 6th match.
  • So, usually, a top-scoring goalkeeper can get around 140-160 points per season. On some occasions, the top-scoring goalkeeper can get even 170 points or more in a season – but it is hard to predict who it is going to be.
  • So, 140-160 points is the number of points you should aim to get from your goalkeeper during the whole FPL season

Of course, you will never get a distribution of a clean sheet that is so symmetric – CS in every 2nd match, CS in every 4th match, etc…

Because of the Law of Large Numbers (when we are stretched too far from the mean, the values tend to return to the mean over time, and regression happens) and the Theory of Clusters (extreme values tend to be concentrated in the clusters), you will likely see a concentration of clean sheets in few matches, then a large strike of blanks, etc.

That’s why you should look at average clean sheet count when selecting a goalkeeper, and not just at his “form” – how many clean sheets he kept in the last few matches – as this can be just a cluster of extreme values (either a cluster of returns or a cluster of blanks).

How are goalkeepers awarded points in FPL?

The majority of FPL points for goalkeepers go through clean sheets – that’s their main source of points.

Then, saves can earn them a few extra points as well. And usually, when a goalkeeper keeps a clean sheet and gets 3 or more saves there is a potential that he will get awarded a few bonus points.

Penalty saves, assists and goals are rare points sources as well.

ActionPoints for goalkeepers
Playing up to 60 minutes1
Playing 60+ minutes2
Clean Sheet4
Every 2 goals conceded -1
Every 3 saves1
Penalty save5
Goal scored6 (rare, but sometimes happen)
Assist3 (rare, but sometimes happen)
Bonus points1-3
Yellow card -1
Red card-3
Own goal-2

Further resources

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

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