FPL GW21 Tips

The first gameweek of the 2022 year in Fantasy Premier League is here. The chaos in FPL is slowly decreasing, but the situation is still ar from ideal. A lot hits and chips are still flying around given all the uncertainty we have now.

Let’s jump to our FPL GW21 tips.

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FPL GW21 Tips

Key notes for FPL GW21

Let’s start with our key notes for GW21 of FPL.

  • Do not forget that after this week a lot of player goes represent their nation to AFCON – so a lot African players will miss GW22 & 23.
  • Also do not forget that Chelsea will go to Club Wolrd Cup soon, and had couple of blanks in GW24 & GW25. 
  • We think that Reguillon is the best James replacement.

Further reading: 3 Essential tips for effective use of wildcard in FPL

Who is the best captain in FPL GW21

We will keep the captaincy section short once again.

If you would like to know more about the process we use to select the captain every gameweek, read our article: How to pick the right captain in FPL?

According to this decision-making process, we think Son is the best captain in FPL GW21.

Salah is our number two, and Ronaldo is the number three captain pick. 

What bookies odds say about GW21

As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 21.

Clean sheet odds for GW21

Manchester United (45 %), Southampton (39 %) and Tottenham (38 %) are most likely teams to keep a clean sheet in GW21. If you had Livramento in your FPL team, play him.

Bookies expect 4.75 clean sheets in gameweek 21. In last season, we were used to a rate of 5.89 per clean sheets gameweek. This season we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 5.15 clean sheets per gameweek – but this number is distorted by the high number of blanks we had. 

Arsenal and Manchester City are due to the correction in their clean sheet count, we expect both teams to concede goals in the upcoming gameweeks. 

We expected the same thing from Liverpool few gameweeks ago. Liverpool conceded few goals and is no longer due to the correction in their clean sheet count. We expect Liverpool to start keeping clean sheets again.

Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Arsenal, Manchester City

Arsenal overperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. The gunners should have kept 5.88 clean sheets instead of 9 according to our expected clean sheets table.

Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Watford, Newcastle

Watford underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 3.03 clean sheets instead of 0 according to our expected clean sheets table.

You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.

Goalscoring odds for GW21

Kane (45%) leads the any time goalscorer odds table for GW21. Ronaldo (43 %) follows.

You can look at all most likely goalscorers here.

FPL GW21 Team - scout selection

Now let’s look at our FPL team for GW21. Son is our captain. 

Goalkeeper

De Gea

5.2 m | WOL (H)

Defence

TAA

8.3 m | CHE (A)

Cancelo

6.9 m | ARS (A)

Reguillon

5.3 m | WAT (A)

Bednarek

4.4 m | NEW (H)

Midfield

Salah (VC)

13.0 m | CHE (A)

Son (C)

10.5 m | WAT (A)

Mahrez

8.7 m | ARS (A)

Raphinha

6.5 m | BUR (H)

Attack

Broja 

5.3 m | NEW (H)

Antonio

7.8 m | CRY (A)

Conclusion

We hope our FPL GW21 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the deadline.

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Good luck in FPL GW21!

Further reading: FPL Tips for success

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

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