Fantasy Premier League Goalscoring Odds GW6

Which players are most likely to score a goal in the following round of Fantasy Premier League? We converted bookies goalscoring odds (any time goalscorer) into probabilities to find it out. 

We used our Odds to probability calculator to make the conversion.

Do not forget to follow us on Twitter (@FplReports). We regularly post Goalscoring Odds there as well. 

Premier League Goalscoring Odds GW6

PlayerGoalscoring Odds
Ronaldo57 %
Salah43 %
Vardy42 %
Kane39 %
Lukaku38 %
Bamford37 %
Daka37 %
Iheanacho37 %
Aubameyang37 %
Antonio36 %
Jimenez36 %
Rondon35 %
Jota35 %
Mané33 %
Martial32 %
Greenwood32 %
Harvey Barnes30 %
Lacazette30 %

Remember, these goalscoring odds are valid only if the player starts the match from the beginning. If he is benched, the odds are voided.

9 thoughts on “Fantasy Premier League Goalscoring Odds GW6

  1. How do you get these percentages? I understand how the calculator works but where do you get the odds? Surely you need the odds for Salah scoring and Salah not scoring? I use oddschecker and can only ever find the former.

    1. Yes. I use bookies odds from a bookmaker that has both odds available: player scoring and player not scoring – so I can easily use the calculator for that. If you use oddschecker and have only one odds available, you can convert it to implied probability like this: 1/decimal odds or 1/(1+fractional odds). Oddschecker has currently odds for Salah scoring 4/9, which is 1.44 in decimal odds. So you will get an implied probability of 1/1.44=0.69 = 69 %. However you have a margin here as well, so the number is very high. The margin for goalscoring odds use to be around 5-10%, so you can reduce the result by that percentage to get a better approximation of real probability. Let’s assume that the margin is 8 % (my bookies use approximately 8 % margin for goalscoring odds), so your approximation for real probability could be (1-0.08)*0.69=0.63=63 %

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