FPL GW23 Tips: Best Picks, Differentials & Team Selection

fpl gw23 tips

Well done to all Rashford (triple) captainers in the previous double gameweek. But now is it time to focus on double gameweek 23 in Fantasy Premier League.

Let’s jump to our FPL GW23 Tips

1. Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 23 Tips

  • Manchester City and Arsenal have a double gameweek
  • target Manchester City, Arsenal, and Newcastle players if you are on a free hit (although it might be more valuable later in the season, especially in big blank in GW28)
  • Haaland + Ederson + KdB/Mahrez is our preferred trio from Man City
  • Arsenal also have a double in GW25, meaning they play 5 matches in next 3 gameweeks. You need three players from their team from GW23 onwards
  • GW25 will be blank and double at the same time, plan for that gameweek. Liverpool, Wolves, Arsenal and Everton play twice in DGW25.
  • Saka + Odegaard + Gabriel is our preferred trio from Arsenal. Nketiah also an amazing option, but we cannot fit him in. Martinelli is a sell, GW22 showed that Trossard is a threat to his playing time
  • Do not forget to plan for blank gameweeks: GW25 and GW28
  • Gameweek 23 Differential: Wilson
  • Differential captain for GW23: Saka
  • Gameweek 27 will be a double gameweek for Brentford, Brighton, Crystal Palace and Southampton

Big thanks to Mikkel Tokvam for creating this useful overview of upcoming double gameweeks and blank gameweeks:


2. Fixtures to target in GW23

In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? Fixtures to target in Gameweek 23 according to bookies odds:

  • Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Citizens 79 % to win, 48 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Arsenal vs Brentford: The Gunners 69 % to win, 36 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Liverpool vs Everton: The Reds 64 % to win, 30 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Bournemouth vs Newcastle: Newcastle 64 % to win, 28 % to score 2.5+ goals

And of course the double gameweek fixture, as Manchester City and Arsenal play twice.

3. Best players to pick in Gameweek 23 and onwards

We also looked at players from each position: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, and forwards.

We examine which players are best picks in each price bracket: budget enablers, midpriced picks, and premium options:

4. Best (triple) captain pick in Double Gameweek 23

Who to captain in gameweek 23? We will keep the captaincy section short once again.

Captaincy is clear for DGW23. Haaland is the obvious captain pick by a big margin. It is a no-brainer. He might even be your triple captain, if you hadn’t used your TC chip on Rahsford in the last gameweek. Our captaincy index agrees.

  1. According to the captaincy index, Haaland is the best captain pick in GW23 with a score of 2.16.
  2. Salah is second with a score of 1.66
  3. And Mahrez is third with a captaincy index value of 1.58

But if you want to try something different, Saka would be our differential captain.

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5. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 23

As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 23.

Clean sheet odds for GW23

Manchester City (50 % & 26 %), Arsenal (46 % & 22 %) and Newcastle (47 %) are most likely to keep a clean sheet in GW23. Try to have defensive coverage from all three teams in double gameweek 23.

Bookies expect 5.91 clean sheets in gameweek 23. In last season, we were used to a rate of 5.58 per clean sheets gameweek. This season we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 5.64 clean sheets per gameweek.

Clean Sheet Odds For DGW23 Teams

 Expected Clean SheetsProbability of at least one CSProbability of two CS
Manchester City0.7663 %13 %
Arsenal0.6858 %10 %

Due to a correction in the number of clean sheets: Newcastle, Brentford

Newcastle overperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 6.25 clean sheets instead of 12 according to our expected clean sheets table.

Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Southampton, Liverpool

Southampton underperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.86 clean sheets instead of 1 according to our expected clean sheets table.

You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.

Goalscoring odds for GW23

As usual, Haaland leads the any-time goalscorer odds table for GW23. Mitrovič and Kane follow.

You can look at all most likely goalscorers for GW23 here: Premier League Goalscoring Odds.

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6. Chips in DGW23

As we mentioned, DGW23 could be a good week to triple captain Haaland. If you are looking to use some other chips in this gameweek, here are some of our team selections:

7. FPL GW23 Team selection

Now let’s look at our FPL team for GW23. Haaland is our captain.

fpl gw23 team selection
fpl gw23 team selection

8. Fantasy Premier League Tips

Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:

We hope our FPL GW23 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 23 deadline.

Join our Fantasy Football Reports League if you haven’t already with a league code of zte1cvOr click the auto-join here.

Good luck in FPL GW23!

 

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

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