UCL Fantasy Matchday 9: Tips, Captain, Picks & Team

ucl fantasy quarterfinals md 9

After a break, Fantasy Champions League returns with Matchday 9. There are just 4 games to be played, but there are still plenty of good UCL fantasy options to pick from in the 1st Leg of the Quarterfinals.

Points differences in mini-leagues and in overall ranking are very tight, and the Champions League Quarterfinals might predetermine the success of your squad. The deeper we go into the tournament the harder it will be to differentiate your UCL Fantasy team from squads of your rivals.

Let’s look at our UCL Fantasy MD9 Tips for the 1st leg of the quarterfinals, where we discuss strategy, best picks, captain, odds, team selection and more.

1. UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals Tips & Strategy

a) Focus on teams that have a high chance of advancing to the semifinals

Just as we said before the Round of 16, think long-term. You have 5 free transfers before Matchday 9 – that looks like a lot, but in fact, it is not.

Try to assess, which teams will likely go through and bring in players from teams that have high chances of progressing to the Champions League Semifinals.

To help you with that, we converted bookies’ odds of progressing to the semifinals into probabilities.

So take a look at what bookies think, and which teams they favor to progress to the next round. You can find these odds in our latest UCL Fantasy article: Probabilities of advancing to semifinals.

champions league odds of progressing to semifinals
Champions League odds of progressing to semifinals

Of course, you can use your own probabilities based on who you think goes through. The important thing is to realize that not all teams have equal chances of qualifying for the next round.

So, when you consider this in your squad selection for the quarterfinals, it can help you minimize the number of potential transfers you will have to make when your players get eliminated.

b) Aim to get 15 starters with your free transfers

Try to get 15 starters into your UCL Fantasy squad. Substitutions are a vital piece of success in UCL Fantasy. So, when transferring players out, prioritize transferring out players that got eliminated.

Read more: UCL Fantasy: Auto subs & Manual Subs – how to use them in your strategy?

Try to get 4 active players into your bench, you will appreciate the possibility of 4 available substitutions later during the matchday 9.

And, of course, avoid -4 point hits if possible – you do not want to take unnecessary losses if you do not need to.

There are just 8 teams in the UCL Fantasy quarterfinals – so there are fewer “quality players” that are able to score 4+ points and repay the -4 point hit.

The Deeper in knock-out stages we get, the fewer points are available in the game to collect (as there are fewer players).

c) Pick goalkeepers who play on different days and are from different halves of the bracket

Do not pick goalkeepers from the same day – that way you cannot use your substitutions for your goalkeeper if your first goalkeeper blanks.

Similarly, if you pick goalkeepers from the same half of the bracket, they might end up playing against each other in the semifinals – blocking possible substitution, forcing you to transfer one of your goalkeepers out. Try to pick goalkeepers from different days and from different halves of the Champions League bracket as well.

champions league bracket 2024
The champions league 2024 bracket (Source: Official UEFA on Twitter)

d) Use all free transfers

Just to remind you, we cannot carry free transfers to the next round in the elimination round of Fantasy Champions League. So use all 5 free transfers before the Matchday 9 deadline.

Read more: UCL Fantasy Transfer Rules.

e) Do not overlook midfielders good at balls recovered

The deeper we are in the tournament, the fewer options among good attacking players we have. So, you do not need to have 5 attacking midfielders in your team now. There are just a few really good midfield options that can deliver attacking returns regularly.

Do not be afraid to bring the likes of Kimmich, Witsel or Rodri , who are good at balls recovered and can deliver 3-5 points in almost every matchday – and outscore other attacking midfielders in the long run.

2. Fixtures to target in UCL Fantasy Matchday 9

Which fixtures you should target? We always use bookies’ odds to help us determine that. Let’s look at which teams have the highest chance of winning their match in the Matchday 9 and scoring a lot of goals in that game:

  • Atletico vs. Dortmund – Atleti 53 % to win the match, 22 % to score more than 2.5 goals
  • Arsenal vs. Bayern – The Gunners 49 % to win, 23 % to score more than 2.5 goals
  • PSG vs. Barcelona – Paris 47 % to win, 13 % to score more than 2.5 goals
  • Real Madrid vs. Manchester City – 40 % to win, 19 % to score more than 2.5 goals

Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Champions League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.

3. Best players to pick in the Matchday 9

We look at key players to pick in UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals 1st leg (Matchday 9). We examine each position and each price bracket. You can check our separate articles here:

4. Key players to own in Quarterfinals

  1. Hummels – top for balls recovered from all players
  2. Bellingham – key player for Real Madrid, captaincy candidate
  3. Haaland
  4. Mbappe – hot form for PSG
  5. Foden/De Bruyne – your Man. City midfield coverage, Foden is in hot form
  6. Oblak/Molina – Atletico top for clean sheet odds in MD9, Molina offers attacking threat as he plays as wing back
  7. Raya/Saliba/White – Arsenal second for clean sheet odds
  8. Saka – Key player for Arsenal

5. Transfer tips for Matchday 9

We have 5 free transfers, but we cannot carry any of them to Matchday 10. So use them all to:

Transfer out:

  1. eliminated players (your number 1 priority)
  2. injured and suspended players (like Hakimi)
  3. defenders with low clean sheet odds

Transfer in:

  • best captaincy options, if you do not have them (Haaland, Bellingham, Hummels, Mbappe)
  • midfielders good at balls recovered
  • defenders have high clean sheet odds in MD9 (Molina, Oblak)

6. Best captain for UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals 1st leg

Well, regarding the captain selection, it will not be as easy in UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals, as it was in R16. In the Round of 16, we had 4 playing days and we could change captain 3 times – so our chances of nailing the captaincy were very high.

But in the 1st leg of the Quarterfinals, we have just 2 playing days. It means we can switch the captain just one time.

When in doubt captain the bets player in the game.

For us, Haaland is the captaincy option to pick on Tuesday. However, if you want to try something different, Bellingham could also be great option given that City defence this season is not that rock solid as we were used to in previous season.

Our backup captain for Wednesday is Mats Hummels as he is so consistent in balls recovered that we think he could get around 5 points even if Dortumnd concede.

Captaincy thresholds

There are just a few matches in the Quarterfinals, so there is a smaller range of great captaincy options. That’s why our captaincy threshold is lower than in the group stage. For Matchday 9, our captaincy threshold is 5 points.

It means, that if our Tuesday captain scores 5 points or more, we will keep the amrband on him.

Substitution threshold

Our subs threshold is 4 points. Meaning that if your players scores 4 points or more, you will not sub him off after the first day.

Read more about our captaincy thresholds: UCL Fantasy Captaincy Thresholds: When to change captain?

7. Odds and Probabilities for Matchday 9

Clean Sheet Odds for Quarterfinals 1st Leg

As usual, we converted bookies’ clean sheet odds into clean sheet probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator.

Atletico (37 %) and Arsenal (30 %) have the highest probability of keeping a clean sheet in Matchday 9, so you might aim to get at least one defender from each of those teams.

You can see all Champions League Clean Sheet Odds here.

Champions League clean sheet odds Matchday 9
Champions League clean sheet odds Matchday 9

Goalscoring Odds for Quarterfinals 1st Leg

You can find odds of scoring a goal here: Champions League Goalscoring Odds.

Champions League goalscoring odds Matchday 9
Champions League goalscoring odds Matchday 9

8. Scout picks for UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals

Let’s finish our preview for the 1st leg of UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals with our scout picks.

ucl fantasy matchday 9 team 2024 update
ucl fantasy matchday 9 team 2024 update

9. Fantasy Champions League Tips

Find more tips, strategies, and picks for UCL Fantasy in these articles:

Feel free to JOIN our UCL fantasy mini-league for the 2023/24 season using our league code 50U1FM5M03.

Good luck in UCL Fantasy Matchday 9 – Quarterfinals 1st Leg.

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

2 thoughts on “UCL Fantasy Matchday 9: Tips, Captain, Picks & Team

  1. Hi Matej, thanks for the post. What is the best substitution strategy for quarter finals? Anyone who has below 4 points or is it 3 points now?

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