Our big scary multicolored tables are back! We are monitoring a number of teams metrics and counting them for the past run of fixtures. We produced 7 percentiles of various ranges from the worst to the best and assigned a color each. Data from each match was provided by understat.com and aggregated by us.
A few words about table’s columns:
- xG dif: accumulated sum of differentials between this team’s xG in a given match and average xG conceded of the opponent team
- xGPlus: number of matches with xG dif greater than zero
- xCSConDif: accumulated sum of differentials between this team’s opponent xCS in a given match and their average
- xCSConPlus: number of matches with xCSConDif greater than zero
- 0 goals: number of matches with zero goals scored
- xGSum: total xG for matches
- goalsSum: total goals count
- xCSDif: accumulated sum of differentials between this team’s xCS in a given match and average xCS of the opponents of this match opponent
- xCSPlus: number of matches with xCSDif greater than zero
- xGConDif: accumulated sum of differentials between this team’s xG conceded in a given match and average xG conceded of the opponents of this match opponent
- xGConPlus: number of matches with xGConDif greater than zero
- xGConSum: total xG conceded for matches
- goalConSum: total goals conceded
Also, it often happens that a team has an unexpectedly great or awful match that does not show their real form. So, we simultaneously create another table based on the last 6 games but without one best and one worst match.
It is quite hard to contemplate tables this big, so we simplify them and narrow them to just 2 columns for attacking stats and defensive stats.
We can see that despite everything Wolves has good attack and defense, Arsenal, Leeds and Leicester are awful, Brentford’s def is on par with Chelsea and Liverpool, best teams to target captains against are Leeds, Newcastle, Norwich and Watford and many other things.
In order to see the whole picture we need to look at the coming fixtures. It becomes easy to see which teams have greater schedule than the others.
How can this help us make a transfer decision? It’s quite simple. You want to find a good team with good fixtures coming and great fixture next if possible. For example, Everton attack is green, they have blue Norwich next and not a single fixture below yellow in the next four.