Short distraction (perhaps a welcome one) for Fantasy Premier League managers is over as Fantasy Champions League started before Gameweek 5. Now, it is time to come back, so let’s jump to our FPL GW5 Tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection.
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 5 Tips
- Wait for pre-match press conference news before you decide what to do with Isak. If he is confirmed out, Watkins is likely the best replacement if you can afford a 0.5m upgrade.
- Differential Isak replacement: Solanke
- Joao Pedro was in training at midweek, but the coach did not confirm whether he is available or not
- Give more time to deliver FPL points to some players like Eze, Bruno Fernandes, Gordon
2. Key players to own and transfer targets for FPL GW5
Key players
- Haaland/Salah – one of them, your captain option in almost any gameweek
- Saka – stable output over the last few years
- Arsenal defender(s) – but that can wait one more week
- TAA – good stats
Transfer targets
- Salah, Jota, TAA – your Liverpool coverage
- Watkins – Aston Villa with very nice fixture run up to GW9
- Aston Villa defender
- Vardy – another potential Isak replacement
- Bowen/Eze/Mbeumo/Smith Rowe – mix of fixtures, but they are key players for their team and should be involved in their goals
- Mateta – he could rediscover the form he had at the end of the last season
3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 5
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? Fixtures to target in GW5 according to bookies odds:
- Liverpool vs. Bournemouth: The Reds 76 % to win, 51 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Aston Villa vs. Wolves: Aston Villa 62 % to win, 35 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Tottenham vs. Brentford: Spurs 62 % to win, 39 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Brighton vs. Nottingham: Brighton 56 % to win, 26 % to score 2.5+ goals
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
4. Best captain pick in FPL GW5
Who is the best captain in Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 5?
We think Salah is the best captaincy option in GW5. He is the safe captaincy pick given his ownership, he is a reliable FPL asset and has a good fixture. Our captaincy index agrees. The captaincy index has Haaland and Son as the number 2 and number 3 captain for Gameweek 5.
If you want to go with a differential captain, consider Palmer or Watkins.
5. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 5
As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 5.
Clean sheet odds for GW5
Bookies assigned the highest probability of a clean sheet to Liverpool – 42 %. The Reds are followed by Manchester City, Brighton and Aston Villa.
So this is where we should be looking for clean sheets in the next round of FPL.
Bookies expect 4.49 clean sheets in gameweek 4. In last season, we were used to a rate of 4.13 per clean sheets gameweek. This season so far, we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 4.5 clean sheets per gameweek.
Due to a correction in the number of clean sheets: Liverpool, Arsenal
Liverpool overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 1.47 clean sheets instead of 3 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Crystal Palace, Aston Villa
Aston Villa underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 1.07 clean sheets instead of 0 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here: Premier League Clean Sheet Odds.
Goalscoring odds for GW5
As usual, Salah leads the table for anytime goalscorer odds in GW5. He is followed by Jota, Solanke and Haaland. Check all odds here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds
6. FPL GW5 Team selection
Now let’s look at our FPL team selection for Gameweek 5 – Scout squad constructed solely for this gameweek. Salah is our captain.
7. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW5 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 5 deadline.
Good luck in FPL GW5!
