The first gameweek of the new Fantasy Premier League season is now over. And it was a pretty high-scoring gameweek especially for managers that own Salah and Fernandes.
However, it is time to stop flying in the sky and get back to the Earth.
So, here is one very important tip for you, FPL managers, from the very beginning of the article.
Keep your emotions in check. Do not make emotional decisions – rage transfers (for example if you do not own high-scoring players like Fernandes) and do not chase points from previous GW.
That would very likely hurt your score in the next round. Calm down, take a deep breath and use logic instead. From a mathematical point of view, the FPL is a chaotic system.
The Chaos Theory shows us that chaotic systems can be predictable. But just for a while. Then randomness appears again. So do not let the randomness of the first gameweek to disrupt the strategy you set up before the beginning of the season. And do not tear apart your team just to bring in some players that (maybe just randomly)
That being said, let’s continue to other FPL GW2 tips.
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Tips for FPL GW2
Previous gameweek review
Before we looked at the GW2, we analyzed the first gameweek of the season.
Our content writer Aleksei looked at the underlying stats from all 10 matches. He used understat data and found some interesting things.
He found out, that based on the underlying numbers, Manchester United probably shouldn’t have won so comfortably – however, their players were highly efficient, and scored the majority of their chances.
He also pointed out that the Saints attack was helpless against Everton defense, which is good news for all those managers who own Red Devils defender.
Wolves’ performance was promising from the FPL perspective, they just could not turn it into good results against Foxes.
West Ham looked very strong. Hammers created the most big chances from all teams. Excellent news for managers who doubled up on Antonio and Buendia early.
Also, Manchester City created a lot of chances against Spurs but failed to convert them. Stats from this match are encouraging for people who plan to captain a City player against Norwich in the GW2.
You can find full Aleksei’s report on every match from gameweek 1 here.
GW2 Transfer Targets
After the GW1 Review, Aleksei also looked at players that are popular transfer targets for GW2.
Based on the stats, he pointed out that Benrahma and Dennis could be the real deal this season. They could be high-scoring cheap options for our teams, while their form last. If you are interested in transferring Benrahma in, make sure to read Marko’s report on him here, where he assessed whether we all should jump on the bandwagon.
Aleksei also picked few players that you should avoid transferring in early for now. as they either had bad stats or we still do not have a lot of information about them.
Read Aleksei’s transfer targets for GW2 report here.
GW2 Best Captain Pick
After the GW1 review and transfer targets, we looked at who should you captain in GW2.
We picked three standout captaincy fixtures and a reliable captaincy pick from each of those three matches.
We looked at the underlying numbers of all three players and the defenses they face in GW.
All these three players are great captaincy options in FPL GW2. However, we have to pick just one of them. In conclusion, we are going with Kevin De Bruyne as our number one captain pick for the second gameweek of the season.
However, if we have doubt about him starting the match against Norwich, Mo Salah is our backup captain.
Read our full captaincy analysis for GW2 here.
Update: After the press conference, it looks that De Bruyne is still a big doubt for the game. He couldn’t train. In reaction to this, we are switching our captaincy to Salah.
Bookies odds for GW2
As always, in preparation for GW2, we looked at bookies odds and converted them into probabilities with our Odds to probability calculator.
Regarding the goalscoring odds, Salah has a 60 % probability of scoring a goal in GW2 – the highest of all players.
However, bookies also heavily favor Manchester City assets to do well. Torres, Sterling, De Bruyne, Mahrez, and Grealish – they all have a probability of scoring a goal in GW2 higher than 40 %.
Check the Premier League Goalscoring Odds for GW2 here.
Regarding the clean sheet odds, bookies expect 5.57 clean sheets in GW2 – more than in GW1, but still fewer than we were seeing in an average gameweek during the previous season.
Manchester City, Liverpool, and Brighton are the teams that are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the GW2.
We also introduced a new feature in our clean sheet odds page: Expected clean sheets that measure how many clean sheets a team should have kept based on bookies odds vs. how many clean sheets the team actually kept. However, this table will be more telling after a few more gameweeks.
Also, do not forget to follow us on Twitter (@FplReports). We regularly post Bookies Odds and other FPL stuff there as well.
FPL GW2 Team: Scout squad
Hopefully, all important things about the Fantasy Premier League GW2 were said. Now, let’s look at our FPL team for GW2.
4.5 m | WAT (H)
7.5 m | BUR (H)
4.1 m | BUR (H)
5.5 m | SOU (A)
6.0 m | NOR (H)
De Bruyne (VC)
12 m | NOR (H)
12 m | BUR (H)
6 m | LEI (H)
9 m | ARS (A)
8 m | NEW (H)
7.5 m | LEI (H)
We hope our FPL GW2 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the deadline. Remember our advice from the very beginning: keep your emotion in check and you will do fine.
After the press conferences, we will post our Premier League Predicted Line Ups as well, so do not forget to check it before the start of gameweek.
And join our Fantasy Football Reports League if you haven’t already with a league code of dwchch. Or click the auto-join here.
In the end, if you are looking for further FPL reading about managing your FPL team, take a look at this article: 7 key tips for Fantasy Premier League success. I shared some of FPL ideas that helped me to finish 2 times in a row in the top 1K of FPL there.
Good luck in FPL GW2!