FPL GW14 Tips

It is not an easy time for Fantasy Premier League managers as gameweek are coming in quick succession during this tight Christmas schedule. We will likely see a lot of rotation, injuries, and perhaps (but hopefully not) some other unexpected postponements due to the weather conditions.

However, when playing FPL, you must always think of all events in terms of probabilities. And no matter how bad your gameweek was, you have to keep goigin.

So, here are our FPL GW14 Tips.

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FPL GW14 Tips

Who is the best captain in FPL GW14

We will keep the captaincy section short.

If you would like to know more about the process we use to select the captain every gameweek, read our article: How to pick the right captain in FPL?

According to this decision-making process, we think Salah is the best captain in FPL GW14.

Salah is our number two, and Ronaldo is our number three captain pick. 

What bookies odds say about GW14

As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 14.

Clean sheet odds for GW14

In FPL GW14, Chelsea has the highest chance of a clean sheet again (47% ). Bookies also favor Man City (45 %) and Wolves (42 %) to keep a clean sheet in GW14.

Bookies expect 5.33 clean sheets in gameweek 14. In last season, we were used to a rate of 5.89 per clean sheets gameweek. This season we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 5.77 clean sheets per gameweek.

In our FPL GW13 Tips we highlighted that Man City and Chelsea are due to correction in clean sheets kept according to our expected clean sheets odds table. And both teams conceded a goal in GW13, so things starts to level. 

Chelsea and Manchester City conceded a goal in GW13, and they are no longer a team due to the correction in the number of clean sheets. 

Let’s see which teams are due to correction and improvement in their clean sheets count in GW14 of Fantasy Premier League. 

Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Liverpool, Southampton

Liverpool overperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. The reds should have kept 4.95 clean sheets instead of 8 according to our expected clean sheets table.

Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Leicester, Watford

Leicester underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 3.62 clean sheets instead of 1 according to our expected clean sheets table.

You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.

Goalscoring odds for GW14

Salah (49 %), Kane (44 %) and Wilson (41 %) are most likely to score a goal in FPL GW14 according to bookies any time goalscorer odds. 

You can look at all most likely goalscorers here.

FPL GW14 Team - scout selection

Now let’s look at our FPL team for GW14. Salah is our captain.

Goalkeeper

Sa

5.0 m | BUR (H)

Defence

TAA

7.9 m | EVE (A)

Cancelo

6.7 m | AVL (A)

James

6.3 m | WAT (A)

Alonso

5.6 m | WAT (A)

Midfield

Salah (C)

13 m | EVE (A)

Son

10.4 m | BRE (H)

Jota

7.7 m | EVE (A)

Raphinha

6.7 m | CRY (H)

Attack

Wilson

7.4 m | NOR (H)

Hwang

5.8 m | BUR (H)

Conclusion

We hope our FPL GW14 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the deadline.

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Good luck in FPL GW14!

Further reading: FPL Tips for success

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Four top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.