UCL Fantasy MD9: Probabilities of advancing to semi-finals (+bracket)

At FPL Reports, we like to do our Fantasy Football decisions based on data and probabilities. If you are like us, you will find probabilities from this article useful.

UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals start soon, so we converted bookies’ odds of progressing to the semi-finals into probabilities using our Odds to probabilities calculator.

When picking your UCL Fantasy quarterfinals squad, you should think long-term and consider, which teams are likely to go through to the semi-finals.

Probabilities of progressing to the semifinals

TeamTo Qualify
Napoli67 %
Real Madrid57 %
Inter Milan53 %
Manch.City53 %
Bayern47 %
SL Benfica47 %
Chelsea43 %
AC Milan33 %

We will bring you other UCL Fantasy ideas for the quarterfinals very soon.

Champions League 2023 bracket

Here is the bracket for the rest of the 2023 Champions League season. It will help you with your decisions about which teams to focus on, as you should aim to have players from both sides of the bracket – that way all your players (especially goalkeepers and captains) will not end up playing against each other in the semifinals.

champions league 2023 bracket
The champions league 2023 bracket (Source: Official UEFA on Twitter)


Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.

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