# Are Chelsea and Spurs players worth it over Arsenal players on GW35 wildcard?

Chelsea and Spurs have 6 games left this season, while many other teams (like Arsenal) have just 4 games left. So, should you sacrifice good single gameweek players and go all in on Spurs, Chelsea and other double gameweek teams?

The metric points per match should give us a clue on what to do.

Tables below show average amount of points players from each position were getting through season. We multiplied the ppm (points per match) by the number of games left (4,5 or 6) to get an idea of how many points would certain players get between Gameweek 35 and Gameweek 38 if they would score according to their current points per match metric.

## Goalkepeers points per match

The assumption: each player will play all games for his team until the end of the season.

Just let’s look at ppm (points per match). Raya is averaging 4.3 points per match, while Petrovič 2.8 ppm and Vicario 3.1 ppm. That gives us the expected output of 17.2 points in 4 games for Raya16.8 points in 6 games for Petrovič, and 18.6 points in 6 games for Vicario. So the difference is small, despite Spurs and Chelsea having 50% more games until the end of the season.

PlayerPoints Per MatchGames leftExp. Points (GW35-38)
Vicario3.1618.6
Onana3.5517.5
Raya4.3417.2
Dubravka3.4517
Petrović2.8616.8
Ederson M.3.3516.5
A.Becker4416
Verbruggen3.2516
Pickford3.9415.6
Areola3.9415.6
Muric3.7414.8
Martinez3.6414.4
Leno3.6414.4
Neto3.5414
Flekken3.1412.4
José Sá3.1412.4
Trafford2.5410
Turner2.5410
Odysseas2.449.6
Fabianski2.449.6
Kaminski2.349.2

## Defenders points per match

The assumption: each player will play all games for his team until the end of the season.

PlayerPoints Per MatchGames leftExp. Points (GW35-38)
Pedro Porro3.8622.8
Trippier4.3521.5
White5.1420.4
Romero3.4620.4
Alexander-Arnold4.8419.2
T.Silva3.2619.2
Schär3.7518.5
Aké3.6518
Walker3.6518
Van de Ven3618
Akanji3.5517.5
Stones3.5517.5
Saliba4.3417.2
R.Lewis3.4517
Maguire3.4517
Gabriel4.2416.8
Colwill2.8616.8
Udogie2.8616.8
Lindelof3.3516.5
Zinchenko4416
Gvardiol3.2516
Burn3.2516
Gusto2.6615.6
Estupiñan3515
Botman3515
Tsimikas3.7414.8
Dalot2.9514.5
Lascelles2.9514.5
Kiwior3.6414.4
Mykolenko3.6414.4
Branthwaite3.4413.6
Virgil3.4413.6
Dunk2.7513.5
Rúben2.7513.5
Tosin3.3413.2
Shaw2.6513
Pau3.1412.4
Senesi3.1412.4
Andersen3.1412.4
Castagne3.1412.4
Reguilón3412
Tarkowski3412
Mitchell2.9411.6
Robinson2.9411.6
Digne2.8411.2
Konsa2.8411.2
Dawson2.8411.2
Tomiyasu2.7410.8
Smith2.7410.8
Pinnock2.7410.8
Doughty2.7410.8
Henry2.6410.4
Guéhi2.6410.4
Collins2.5410
Muñoz2.5410
Diop2.5410
Konaté2.5410
Toffolo2.5410
Coufal2.5410

## Midfielders points per match

The assumption: each player will play all games for his team until the end of the season.

PlayerPoints Per MatchGames leftExp. Points (GW35-38)
Palmer7.4644.4
Son6.4638.4
Foden6.4532
March5.6528
De Bruyne5.5527.5
Salah6.8427.2
Richarlison4.4626.4
Gordon5.1525.5
Saka6.3425.2
B.Fernandes4.9524.5
Olise5.9423.6
Sterling3.9623.4
Gross4.6523
Rodrigo4.6523
Johnson3.8622.8
Ødegaard5.4421.6
Bowen5.3421.2
Kulusevski3.5621
Mbeumo5.2420.8
Diogo J.5.2420.8
Bernardo4520
Gallagher3.3619.8
Mitoma3.9519.5
Garnacho3.9519.5
Brereton Díaz4.8419.2
Douglas Luiz4.6418.4
Havertz4.5418
Bailey4.5418
Eze4.5418
Neto4.5418
Doku3.6518
Bruno G.3.6518
Hinshelwood3.5517.5
Hee Chan4.3417.2
Rashford3.4517
J.Murphy3.3516.5
Rice4.1416.4
Ward-Prowse4.1416.4
Kudus4.1416.4
Diaby3.9415.6
Luis Díaz3.9415.6
Trossard3.8415.2
A.Doucoure3.7414.8
Gibbs-White3.7414.8
Martinelli3.6414.4
McNeil3.6414.4
Sarabia3.6414.4
McGinn3.5414
Andreas3.5414
Elanga3.4413.6
L.Paquetá3.4413.6
Jensen3.3413.2
J.Ayew3.3413.2
Iwobi3.3413.2
Mac Allister3.3413.2
Szoboszlai3.3413.2
Barkley3.3413.2

## Forwards points per match

The assumption: each player will play all games for his team until the end of the season.

PlayerPoints Per MatchGames leftExp. Points (GW35-38)
Haaland6.7533.5
Isak5.4527
Watkins6.6426.4
N.Jackson3.8622.8
Werner3.8622.8
J.Alvarez4.5522.5
Solanke4.8419.2
Højlund3.7518.5
Cunha4.3417.2
Wilson3.4517
João Pedro3.3516.5
Mateta4.1416.4
Wood4.1416.4
Darwin4416
D.D.Fofana3.9415.6
Muniz3.9415.6
Morris3.9415.6
Awoniyi3.8415.2
Toney3.7414.8
Wissa3.6414.4
Semenyo3.4413.6
Foster3.4413.6
Welbeck2.7513.5
G.Jesus3.3413.2
McBurnie3.1412.4
Calvert-Lewin3412
Antonio3412
Edouard2.9411.6
Archer2.8411.2

## Conclusion

• We can see that Spurs defensive assets such as Vicario, Pedro Porro are on top of the tables, but their expected points output are very similar to those of Arsenal defenders
• Arsenal midfielders are behind the likes of Palmer, Son, Maddison
• Chelsea defenders are nowhere to be seen
• Watkins still over Jackson despite having 2 games less in GW35-GW38

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.