Matchday 7 – The last matchday of EURO 2024 Fantasy is here.
We all can pick players only from two teams, so there will not be many differences between teams of the majority of fantasy managers (apart from those, who gave up, or who miss the deadline).
The potential of moving your team in overall ranking or in your mini-leagues is limited.
However, there is a way (risky way) how you can still climb the ranking or to take that number 1 spot in your mini-league even on the matchday like this (with limited upside).
Let’s jump right to it.
1. Strategies for EURO 2024 Fantasy Matchday 7
The strategy to play the EURO 2024 Fantasy Final is the same as we introduced in the UCL Fantasy Final.
It depends on whether you are a leader in your mini-league, or you are a chaser.
Let’s look in more detail at both of these possibilities.
a) Strategy for mini-league leaders
If you are leading your mini-league, you need to prevent the chasers behind you from overtaking you.
That is why you have to try to match the teams of your rivals. If you and the number 2 in your mini-league have the same team and the captain for the final, there is no way he will overtake you.
So, try to match the teams of your biggest rivals. You will not get it to 100% but do your best to field almost the same XI as the mini-league chasers.
b) Strategy for keeping the position in the ranking
If you have a comfortable lead in your mini-league, and you try to preserve your position in overall ranking – your strategy is to play it safe.
Field the “template” team of highly owned players. Captain the player that the majority will captain (Harry Kane).
Diversify and pick players to your starting 11 almost equally from both England and Spain (6 players from one team, 5 players from the other one).
This is the way that will help you to “fix” your position in the rankings. You will own highly owned players, so you will not move up, but you will also do not move down.
However, you should improve your position by a small margin, because you will get ahead of managers, who forget the deadline or those who give up and do not make any transfers.
So, if you are happy with your position in the overall ranking, and in the mini-leagues, this defensive strategy is for you.
c) Strategy for mini league chasers
If you are chasing and trying to get that number 1 spot in your mini-league, you just have to risk it all in the Final.
This is the strategy with the highest variance – you can win big, but also you can loose big.
But, if place number 1 in your mini-league is all you take then this “risky” strategy is for you.
Basically, go all-in in one team, that you think will win. Do you think that Spain will be EURO 2024 champions? Go for 8 Spain players in your starting XI.
Or..
Do you think England will keep a clean sheet in the final? Go for 5 England defenders (including the keeper).
You got my point. Play it all on one card.
You will get big number of points if you hit it. But you will get little points if you do not.
2. EURO 2024 Fantasy Final Tips
- You do not need 15 starting players, as you will not use subs in the final – starting XI players is all you need
- Pick the strategy based on your position in mini leagues and overall rankings
- You can “risk it” by captaining a defender if you believe there is going to be a clean sheet for some team
- Both teams have a high chance of clean sheet (30% +), so play 4 or 5 defenders.
- If you play it safe, pick 6-7 Spain players and 4-5 England players, because according to bookies odds, Spain are slight favorites to win EURO (56 % probability of winning the EURO for Spain, 44 % for England)
- Of course, wait till line ups are live before making your transfers
- If you cannot maximize the budget of 105 – 106 million, it is fine. Pick the best players – players that are going to score points, and not the most expensive players. If it will leave you 3 or 4 million or more in the bank, it is fine.
3. Fixtures to target in Matchday 7 of EURO Fantasy
- Spain 38 % to win (in regular time), 10 % to score 2.5+ goals
- England 28 % to win (in regular time), 6 % to score 2.5+ goals
4. Key player to own and transfer targets for Matchday 7
Key players to own
- Guehi (good at balls recovered and back from suspension)
- Kane, Bellingham – England’s main men
- Dani Olmo – key player for Spain after Pedri got injured
- Rice, Rodri – should get few extra points for balls recovered
- Laporte/Cucurella – Spain defenders solid at balls recovered
Transfer targets
- Saka
- Carvajal – back from suspension
- Fabian Ruiz
- Williams, Yamal – if you want to go all in in Spain attack
Differentials:
- Shaw
- Le Normand
- or if you think the game will go to the extra time, you can gamble on players that will be subbed in around the 70min mark and play 20 + 30 minutes, like Torres, Watkins or Palmer
5. Clean sheet probabilities for MD7
Let’s continue analyzing bookies odds for EUR 2024 Matchday 7. We used our Odds to probability calculator to convert other odds to probabilities as well, which helps us assess the potential of the following matchday.
- Spain – 37 %
- England – 30 %
6. Best captain for Fantasy EURO 2024 Matchday 7
Our captain for Matchday 7 is Harry Kane. If not sure who to captain, just captain the best player on the pitch. Dani Olmo could be solid differential captain. Or if you want to captain a player with balls-recovered potential, consider Rodri, Laporte or Rice.
7. Scout team for EURO 2024 Fantasy Final
Here is our scout team for the EURO 2024 Final.
Hopefully, our EURO 2024 Final Tips will help you achieve your goals in the final matchday of this competition. Enjoy the final, enjoy the football.
Fantasy Football Reports will be back with new content about Fantasy Premier League and Fantasy Champions League soon.
Good luck.
