FPL GW30: Clean Sheet Odds

Just as always, let’s look at clean sheet probabilities before the start of the next gameweek.

We calculated them by converting bookies odds into probabilities using Odds to probability calculator.

Clean sheet odds GW30

TeamProbability of CS
Chelsea59 %
Everton44 %
Leeds44 %
Manchester City41 %
Manchester United41 %
Spurs41 %
Southampton36 %
Aston Villa34 %
West Ham33 %
Wolves30 %
Arsenal27 %
Liverpool27 %
Fulham26 %
Burnley24 %
Crystal Palace21 %
Brighton16 %
Newcastle15 %
Leicester14 %
Sheffield United14 %
West Brom9 %

In GW30 many teams have a probability of a clean sheet higher than 40 %, which is unusual. It looks like that predicting clean sheets for GW30 is going to be simpler than usual. 

Bookies expect 5.94 clean sheets in GW30. This number is higher almost every gameweek.

We started the season at around 5.45 expected clean sheets per gameweek during the first few weeks.

Then after we saw a lot of crazy scores in the first matches, the expected number of clean sheets per gameweek fall to around 5.1, as we were witnessing an offensive overperformance, and just a few clean sheets.

Now, we moved to the other extreme and now we are seeing clean sheets at a higher rate than usual – what we call a period of defensive overperformance. 

Looking for more information about the upcoming gameweek? Read our FPL GW30 Tips.

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