FPL GW33 Tips: Transfers, Picks, Captain & Team

fpl gw33 tips 2024

Gameweek 33 – one calm single gameweek before blank and double gameweeks chaos begins again. There are just a few gameweeks left in this Fantasy Premier League season, but the exciting part is that FPL managers will have a lot of outstanding opportunities (double gameweeks) to shake with overall ranking or rankings in their mini-leagues.

The first big opportunity starts soon, with double gameweek 34. But before that…

Let’s quickly jump to our FPL GW33 Tips, with the best picks, fixtures to target, transfer targets, captain, odds & team selection for Gamewee 33.

1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 33 Tips

  • There are Champions League and Europe League games in midweek – so do not make early transfers as anything could happen before Saturday deadline
  • Do not forget to make transfers for your UCL Fantasy team as well
  • If you will not free hit in GW34, you can save the transfer to have more flexibility before the double gameweek
  • If you will free hit in GW34, use your one transfer now as it cannot be carried forward – focus on double gameweek 35 and 37 with your transfers
  • Expect rotation again in GW33 as we are in very busy schedule with Premier League, Champions League and Cup games
  • Jota is back from injury – that could influence Darwin’s a Diaz minutes
  • If you will free hit in GW34, keep Foden – it is just a small knock, he could be rested in GW33, but you will want him from GW35  onwards
  • Gameweek 35 wildcarders could sell Foden 
  • Mbeumo against Sheffield could perfect one-week differential for managers who are looking for one week punt (for example managers who will free hit in GW34 and wildcard in GW35)

2. Transfer Tips for GW33

Key players to own

  • Haaland
  • Salah – he will be essential in DGW34
  • Saka
  • Arsenal defender – just choose your Arsenal defender and stick to him, they have the best defence this season
  • Solanke/Isak – depending on whether you will free hit inGW34 or not
  • Palmer – just keep him regardless fixtures
  • Ait Nouri – if he is fit

Potential transfer targets:

  • Havertz – he is in such outstanding form since playing as a striker
  • Liverpool players – VVD/Diaz/Nunez – as part of GW34 plan
  • Odegaard/Saliba – Arsenal players if you do not have triple up
  • Branthwaite – budget defender who have double gameweek in GW34, and allow you to fund Salah.

3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 33

In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 33 according to bookies odds.

  • Man. City vs. Luton: Citizens 90 % to win, 68 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace: The Reds 79 % to win, 52 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: The Gunners 76 % to win, 48 % to score 2.5+ goals
  • Brentford vs. Sheffield: The Gunners 71 % to win, 42 % to score 2.5+ goals

Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.

4. Who is the best captain in GW33?

We will keep the captaincy section short once again. If you would like to know more about the process we use to select the captain every gameweek, read our article: How to pick the right captain in FPL?

According to our captaincy indexHaaland is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 33 with a captaincy index score of 1.92.

Salah (captaincy index score 1.9) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Foden (1.68) is number 3.

5. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 33

As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 33.

Clean sheet odds for GW33

Man. City (56 %) leads the clean sheet odds table for Gameweek 33. Bookies also expect Liverpool (46 %) and Arsenal (46 %) to do well defensively in Gameweek 33.

Bookies expect 4.45 clean sheets in gameweek 33 in the last season, we were used to a rate of 5.45 per clean sheets gameweek. This season we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 3.94 clean sheets per gameweek.

Expected clean sheets

Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Arsenal, Everton

Arenal overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 11.78 clean sheets instead of 14 according to our expected clean sheets table.

Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Chelsea, Manchester City

Chelsea underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 9.18 clean sheets instead of 5 according to our expected clean sheets table.

You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.

Goalscoring odds for GW33

Check who leads any time goalscoring odds for GW33 here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.

6. FPL GW33 Team selection

Now let’s look at our FPL team selection for Gameweek 33 – Scout squad. Haaland is our captain.

fpl gw33 wildcard team for gw34 bench boost
fpl gw33 team

7. Fantasy Premier League Tips

Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:

We hope our FPL GW33 tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 33 deadline.

Feel free to JOIN our Fantasy Football Reports mini-league by clicking this link or using our league code ti56kl.

Good luck in FPL GW33!

Matej Šuľan

Fantasy Football enthusiast with two top 1k finishes in FPL. Best FPL overall rank: 119th in 2019/20 season. Five top 500 finishes in UCL Fantasy, best overall rank: 23rd in 2018/19 season. Founder of Fantasy Football Reports.